2020 NCAA Wrestling Championships

The NCAA Team Race According To The Seeds

The NCAA Team Race According To The Seeds

How the NCAA Wrestling Championship team race will look according to the recently announced seeds.

Mar 12, 2020 by Andrew Spey
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The NCA Championship brackets are out! For the second year in a row the official seeding committee has assigned all 33 competitors a seed in each weight class. We can make predictions based on those seeds, so without further ado, let's get to those team scores.

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The NCA Championship brackets are out! For the second year in a row the official seeding committee has assigned all 33 competitors a seed in each weight class. We can make predictions based on those seeds, so without further ado, let's get to those team scores.

2020 NCAA Championship brackets inside FloArena

Here is how many team points each program is expected to score, without factoring in bonus points, according to the seeds. 

PLACETEAMSCORE
1Iowa122.5
2Penn State76.5
3Ohio State66.5
4Northwestern47.5
5Nebraska46.5
6Oklahoma State45.5
7Purdue42
8Princeton41
9Iowa State38
10Minnesota36
11Northern Iowa35
12NC State33.5
13Wisconsin33
13Arizona State33
15Lehigh31
16Stanford29
17Cornell26.5
18Virginia Tech24.5
19Pittsburgh24
20Michigan21.5
20Central Michigan21.5
22North Carolina21
23Virginia20
24West Virginia16
24Campbell16
26Oklahoma15.5
27Missouri15
28Rider14.5
29Binghamton12.5
30Illinois11
31Michigan State9.5
32Wyoming7
33Utah Valley6.5
33South Dakota State6.5
33North Dakota State5.5
36Army5
37Rutgers4.5
37Northern Colorado4.5
39Navy4
39Clarion4
41American3.5
42Old Dominion3
43Penn2.5
43Harvard2.5
43Fresno State2.5
46VMI2
46Oregon State2
46Lock Haven2
46Kent State2
46Bucknell2
51Ohio1.5
51Cleveland State1.5
51Cal Poly1.5
51Appalachian State1.5
55Northern Illinois1
55Indiana1
55Chattanooga1
55Buffalo1
59SIU-Edwardsville0.5
59George Mason0.5
59Edinboro0.5
59Drexel0.5
59CSU-Bakersfield0.5
59Columbia0.5
65The Citadel0
65Maryland0
65Hofstra0
65Duke0
65Bloomsburg0


Now let's dig deeper into the top eight teams and examine their strengths and weakness at each weight class by showing which wrestlers on each team will be counted on.


Iowa has the most balanced and impressive team in the country, which they have proving all year long. They are the favorite by an astounding 46 points according to the seeds. Penn State still has four to five title threats, but they will need Iowa to stumble fairly badly to have a shot at that title and that is without allowing any margin for error on their behalf.

Everyone else in the top 10 has a shot at a top-four team trophy, although Ohio State leads the pack and has the best shot at surpassing Penn State for second-place. Nebraska placed ahead of Penn State and Ohio State at Big Tens, but when the field is expanded to the entire NCAA they are projected (according to the seeds) to finish fifth.

And now, because we all love heat maps, here is a heat map by home state based projected NCAA points from seeds with pins for hometowns!


More analysis on the way, stay tuned!